Volatile Expiry as RBI Keeps Repo Rate Unchanged at 6.5%! - Post-Market Analysis


Post-Market Analysis for August 10, 2023:

NIFTY started the day at 19,605 with a gap-down of 27 points. The index initially consolidated till 10 AM. Soon after RBI made its monetary policy announcements, the markets fell sharply from 19,620 zones to 19,500 levels, took support, and then gave a sharp recovery of 100 points to 19,600 zones. Then, it again fell to the day’s low of 19,500 and eventually consolidated near 19,550. Nifty closed at 19,543, down by 89 points or 0.46% 

Nifty chart Aug 10 - post-market analysis

BANK NIFTY (BNF) started the day at 44,797 with a gap-down of 83 points. Initially, the index moved up to 45,000 levels. After 10 AM, it fell sharply by nearly 500 points in 20 mins to 44,500 zones and took support there. Then, Bank Nifty tried to make a recovery but did not have enough strength, and it mostly consolidated for the rest of the day to close at 44,541, down by 338 points or 0.76%. 

Bank Nifty chart Aug 10 - post-market analysis

All indices except Nifty Media (+6.6%) and Nifty Metal (+0.68%) closed in the red. Nifty FMCG (-0.91%) fell the most.

Major Asian markets closed flat-to-green. European markets are currently trading in the green.

Today’s Moves

Adani Enterprises (+1.8%) was NIFTY50’s top gainer. 

ZEEL (+16.5%) surged and hit a 52-week high of ₹290.70 after the National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) approved its proposed merger with Sony India.

Jubilant Pharma (+11.3%) rallied on the back of strong volumes.

Asian Paints (-2.79%) was NIFTY50’s top loser. One of the company’s employees was booked for stealing confidential info, causing ₹6 crore loss to the firm.

RattanIndia Enterprises (-7.85%) fell sharply after the company posted its Q1 results today.

Markets Ahead

Nifty and Bank Nifty were extremely volatile on expiry day, and there’s still selling pressure that can be seen in both indices.

Nifty: The important round level support now in Nifty would be 19,500 and the major resistance to look out for is 19,600 levels. A breakout from 19,600 can give us targets of 19,690 and 19,720 (gap-filling levels) and a breakdown from 19,500 could give us targets of 19,420 and 19,390.

Bank Nifty: The index is currently at the support zone of 44,400-500. The immediate resistance will be 44,700 levels. A breakdown of the support levels can give us targets of 44,280 and 44,000. A breakout can give us targets of 45,000 and 45,150 levels.

Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has retained the key policy repo rate at 6.5%. It has also maintained the gross domestic product (GDP) growth projection for FY24 at 6.5%. 

According to an Economic Times report, the RBI's decision to enforce an additional Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) of 10% of Net Demand and Time Liabilities (NDTL) on banks severely impacted market sentiment today.

Now, all eyes will be on US inflation figures. This data holds significant importance for the global market as it seeks insights into the potential direction of the US Fed's policy.

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