Consolidation for Monthly Expiry? - Pre-Market Analysis Report


Here are some of the major updates that could move the markets today:


Tata Motors said it will cancel DVR shares and issue ordinary shares which will take shareholding of the promoter group down by 3.16%. Reported a consolidated net profit of Rs 3,203 crore for Q1, back to profits due to good sales from Jaguar Land Rover.

Union Bank of India has entered into a strategic partnership with IBM to act as a system integrator in its digital push. The bank has embarked on Project Sambhav to create a Digital bank.

Piramal Enterprises said it will consider a share buyback proposal on July 28.

Larsen & Toubro agreed to buy back 2.4% of equity capital, at a max price of Rs 3,000 per share, for a total of Rs 10,000 crore. Net profit of the company jumped 46.5% YoY to Rs 2,493 crore, and beating estimates.

SBI Life reported a 46.2% YoY increase in net profit at Rs 380 crore for Q1.

Major results today: Axis Bank, BPCL, Cipla, Dr Reddy's Laboratories, Punjab National Bank, Shree Cement, Tech Mahindra, Bajaj Finance.

What to Expect Today?

NIFTY started the day with a gap-up at 19,729. It was volatile for the FINNIFTY expiry and kept on making sharp moves but ended flat. Nifty closed at 19,680, up by 8.25 points or 0.04%.

BANK NIFTY (BNF) started the day at 46,154 with a gap-up of 231 points. But from the first candle, it could not sustain and started falling. The index had a 300-point fall in 30 minutes at 1 PM but recovered. BANK NIFTY closed at 45,845, down by 78 points or 0.17%. 

US markets closed slightly in the green. The European markets closed slightly in green also.

The Asian markets are trading mixed.

The U.S. Futures are trading flat.

GIFT NIFTY is trading flat at 19,711.

All the factors combined indicate a flat opening.

NIFTY has supports at 19,630, 19,550, and 19,440. We can expect resistances at 19,750 and 19,800.

BANK NIFTY has supports at 45,635, 45,470 and 45,230. Resistances are at 46,253, 46,300, and 46,500.

NIFTY has the highest call OI build-up at 19,800. The highest put OI build-up is at 19,500 and 19,700. 

BANK NIFTY has strong call OI build-up at 46,000. The highest put OI build-up is also at 46,000, indicating expectation of consolidation around that zone.

Foreign Institutional Investors net-bought shares worth Rs 1,088 crores. Domestic Institutional Investors net-sold shares worth Rs 333 crores.

INDIA VIX fell 12% to 10.23.

BANK NIFTY is forming similar candles to the 4th July week. Even with intraday weakness, the index is still in the breakout zone and bullish. The question is how many days of consolidation will we see.

The same goes for NIFTY as well. The moves without news or reason, which I believe are the best moves, have been paused just temporarily.

Options data is also indicating consolidation coming up for the market, and the BNF straddle buildup at 46,000 continues. 

Have an eye on Punjab National Bank and Axis Bank results for today. Otherwise, the next results announcement I will be looking forward to is SBI in August.

I expect some consolidation with selling ahead of the monthly expiry tomorrow.

And as long as 45,230 on BNF and 19,500 on NIFTY are defended, I will not be overly bearish on the market.

Make sure that you tune in to The Stock Market Show at 7 PM on our YouTube channel. All the best for the day!

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